Let’s face the facts. The environmental, social justice, and conscious living movements remain fragmented and vastly underdeveloped despite the paramount need to address global crises.

We know the problems. We have the technology. We have enough collective will power.

So why isn’t the world tackling global warming, sex slavery, economic disenfranchisement, species extinction, terrorism, environmental collapse, financial sustainability, and other critical problems with an all-hands-on-deck approach? Get it done and move on, right?

It’s easy to blame politics and institutional resistance to change, but few if any periods of social enlightenment were mandated from the top down. Systemic change occurs through pressure from all directions, and political will power is firstly dependent upon pressure from the bottom up.

So why isn’t there enough pressure from average citizens to trigger widespread institutional change?

Thousands of campaigns and millions of nonprofit organizations exist around the world, disseminating information and calling citizens to action. It’s easy to think that with all this activity the world must be headed towards a tipping point for peace, sustainability, and prosperity. However, it’s difficult to find data that supports this wishful thinking.

The data more often than not shows trends towards systemic and irreversible collapse.

The critical mass is missing.

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El Niño vs. Global Warming

by Joe on May 13, 2010

Discovery News, the same people as Discovery Channel, wrote an interesting article on why global warming can look like El Niño but differs significantly in how precipitation gets distributed. Normally in an El Niño cycle, dry regions get more rain and wet regions get less. In global warming, the opposite often occurs causing significant strain on ecology and inhabitants.

Read the full El Niño article on Discovery News.

It’s interesting to see articles like this popping up more and more through mainstream outlets. With all the controversy last year over climate science at least people are paying more attention to the data.

A related news thread to follow is the acidification of the oceans. Changes in the oceans are the canary in the coal mine for accelerating global warming.

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One of the most common misconceptions about the Internet is that it’s a technology revolution.  While the Internet would not be possible without revolutionary new technologies, the colloquial Internet is actually a social revolution.

Humanity has a fundamental desire to communicate ideas and events.  Recent studies found that 80% of human communication is gossip.  This stat is easily confirmed by anyone who spends time in Internet chat rooms or forums.

Technology is not driving social change.  Social change is driving technology.  This distinction is the key to understanding what nascent technologies will catch on and drive the convergence of related technologies in the near future.

From the perspective of the emerging uber movement (environmental + social justice + spiritual), the next big thing in social technology will be apps that put relevant and highly contextualized actions in front of users.

Right now, there is a glut of charities and campaigns telling people what to do to green up their lives and treat their fellow global citizens with a bit more compassion.  The problem is not what can be done to improve the world but how to make actions highly personal and relevant.

New initiatives like the Open Action Network and Personal Data Stores are taking the first steps towards bridging the gap between our digital lives and our actions in the real world.

Here are a couple of videos to help put the Internet as social revolution in perspective…

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Bill McKibben, founder of 350.org, wrote a pointed op-ed for The Washington Post to commemorate Earth Day’s 40th anniversary. The message: the environmental movement is losing. It’s time for an overhaul.

Read full article.

While the environmental movement won many battles over the last four decades (most notably the US Clean Air Act and Clean Water Act), its political influence is waning. Not to mention that much of the public views “green” as more of a marketing fad than a movement.

It’s the view of this blog and a growing cadre of strategic thinkers like Van Jones that the future success of the environmental movement lies in linking economic, social, personal, and national prosperity to a thriving environment. Easier said than done, but not impossible.

Thanks to the democratization of media through social media and mountains of new data, it’s possible to start telling a compelling story of how the relatively unseen negative impacts on our environment over the past half-century are causing serious threats to our near-future prosperity. Try to improve the economy without addressing environmental impact and it won’t work. Try to preserve the environment without addressing social and economic impact and it won’t work.

The future success of the environmental movement depends on the cooperation of social, economic, political, educational, and personal development movements. A true movement of movements focused on hard science and doing the most good for the most people without sacrificing the minority or the environment.

Game on.

Check out the FOUR YEARS. GO. campaign to get involved in coalescing a movement of movements.  It’s in an early stage of development but picking up steam behind the scenes.

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Peak Phosphorus

by Joe on April 23, 2010

The world may have just surpassed peak phosphorus production. Who cares? Soon, everyone will if we don’t reduce our dependency on it.

The industrial agricultural revolution of the past 100 years depends heavily on the availability of phosphorus as the primary ingredient in fertilizers. The mineral is mined, added to fertilizers, absorbed by our food crops, ingested by us, passed through to our waste treatment systems, and eventually ends up in the oceans. Not a big deal if we want to wait millions of years for the oceans’ phosphorus deposits to coalesce into mine-able pockets. But a serious problem for the foreseeable future of our current agricultural system.

The reduction in the phosphorus supply means escalating food prices as production costs go up and yield is decreased. The race is on to move agribusiness to sustainable permaculture practices that do not rely as heavily on mined phosphorus. A win-win all around but will likely require an end to the irrational farm subsidies in the US and Europe that encourage rampant use of  fertilizers. Big agribusiness is not likely to change its ways without a fight.

Additional articles:

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What Would It Look Like?

April 17, 2010

This beautiful short film from the Global Oneness Project captures the emotion of the sustainability + social justice movement. I like to think of it as a 30 minute version of The Pachamama Alliance’s Changing the Dream Symposium and the impetus of FOUR YEARS. GO.

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1 Billion Squatters

April 17, 2010

Robert Neuwirth, an independent journalist and author, spent two years living in squatter communities on four continents and wrote the book Shadow Cities: A Billion Squatters, a New Urban World. In 2005, there were an estimated 1 billion (yes, billion) people world wide living in squatter shantytowns. By 2030, the projection jumps to 2 billion [...]

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Eyjafjallajokull Warns Climate Change

April 16, 2010

Vulcanologist warn that melting icecaps are releasing pressure on Icelandic volcanoes. The result will likely be larger or more frequent volcanic eruptions in the coming decades. While Eyjafjallajokull’s eruption is unlikely due to climate change, the international press coverage of Eyjafjallajokull shed light on recent studies linking increased volcanic activity to melting icebergs. The studies [...]

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Climate Refugees

April 16, 2010

While the world focuses on the necessary yet contentious debate over CO2 emissions, much of the broader climate change discussion has taken an unfortunate back seat. Regardless of whether or not humans are the primary cause of global warming, overwhelming scientific and anecdotal evidence clearly shows the world entering a new climate epoch.  An epoch [...]

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US Military Predicts Oil Shortages by 2015

April 15, 2010

The Guardian reports on a warning issued by the US military that oil surpluses may soon disappear. “By 2012, surplus oil production capacity could entirely disappear, and as early as 2015, the shortfall in output could reach nearly 10 million barrels per day.” -from US military report Read the full story.

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Rise of Megaslums in Developing Countries

April 14, 2010

By 2050, the world population will exceed 9 billion. Over 95% of the growth is happening in cities in developing countries. Economic opportunity and infrastructure development can not keep pace with the population explosion, resulting in megaslums with billions of people living in destitution in hundreds of cities around the globe.

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Human Migration Map

April 14, 2010

Thanks to Stephen Oppenheimer’s work tracking mtDNA and Y chromosomes, we can now tell the story of our ancestors’ migration over the past 160,000 years. Human Migration Map The interactive map shows the journey of humankind from Africa through Asia and Europe and into the New World.

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Film Documents China’s Urban Migration

April 14, 2010

Each year, over 60 million people move from rural areas to cities in search of jobs. This is the largest human migration the world has ever seen, yet it’s a relatively untold story. New documentaries like Last Train Home are trying to raise awareness about the impending global impacts of humanity on the move.

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